Tim Walz dan JD Vance mungkin memiliki kesempatan untuk mengubah lanskap politik pada hari Selasa dalam debat pertama dan satu-satunya mereka.
Para calon wakil presiden biasanya mengambil peran sebagai anjing penyerang politik, menyerang lawan-lawannya sehingga pasangannya dapat tampil di atas pertikaian politik. Hal ini secara umum menjadi kurang benar sejak mantan Presiden Donald Trump mengacaukan norma-norma politik.
Namun Walz, gubernur Minnesota dari Partai Demokrat, berhasil menjadi terkenal secara nasional dengan menyebut saingannya dari Partai Republik sebagai “aneh.” Vance, senator junior Partai Republik dari Ohio, telah menyerang partai Wakil Presiden Kamala Harris mengenai imigrasi, terutama dengan menyebarkan cerita palsu tentang imigran Haiti di negara bagian asalnya yang kemudian dikutip Trump dalam debatnya sendiri dengan Harris.
Berikut adalah debat wakil presiden di masa lalu – dan peran yang lebih besar dari kantor yang dicari oleh Walz dan Vance.
Apa tugas wakil presiden?
Wakil presiden memimpin Senat dan diberi wewenang untuk memutuskan hubungan, seperti yang dilakukan Harris sebanyak 33 kali. Dia melampaui angka tertinggi sebelumnya tahun lalu, yang diraih sejak John C. Calhoun menjadi wakil presiden dari tahun 1825 hingga 1832. Pemegang jabatan tersebut juga secara seremonial memimpin Kongres untuk mengesahkan hasil pemilu, yang dilakukan oleh Wakil Presiden Mike Pence bahkan setelah kerumunan orang berkumpul. Pendukung Trump menyerbu Gedung Capitol AS pada 6 Januari 2021, dalam upaya untuk menghentikan proses dan transisi kekuasaan, dengan beberapa orang meneriakkan, “Gantung Mike Pence!”
Namun tugas utama wakil presiden adalah siap mengambil alih jika terjadi sesuatu pada presiden. Sembilan orang telah melakukan hal yang sama setelah seorang presiden meninggal atau mengundurkan diri dari jabatannya – yang terakhir adalah Gerald Ford, yang menjadi presiden ketika Richard Nixon mengundurkan diri pada tahun 1974.
Amandemen ke-25 Konstitusi, yang diratifikasi pada tahun 1967, menjabarkan aturan suksesi, yang menyatakan bahwa wakil presiden menjadi presiden “dalam hal presiden dicopot dari jabatannya atau meninggal atau mengundurkan diri.” Hal ini juga memungkinkan presiden dan Kongres untuk mencalonkan dan menyetujui wakil presiden baru jika jabatan tersebut dikosongkan.
Sejarawan wakil presiden Joel K. Goldstein mengatakan dua upaya pembunuhan baru-baru ini terhadap Trump meningkatkan “pentingnya suksesi.” Namun ia menambahkan bahwa banyak pemilih memandang calon wakil presiden sebagai embel-embel dari kandidat yang memilih mereka, dan belum tentu sebagai calon presiden di masa depan.
“Orang-orang memang memandang seseorang sebagai, apakah mereka siap untuk pergi begitu saja?” kata Goldstein. “Tetapi ini juga merupakan pertanyaan tentang seberapa baik orang yang memilih mereka adalah pengambil keputusan.”
Debat wakil presiden yang mengesankan menampilkan Palin, Bentsen — dan Harris
Pada tahun 1992, Laksamana James Stockdale, pasangan calon wakil presiden dari pihak ketiga Ross Perot, hendak bersikap santai namun tampak bingung ketika ia membuka debat dengan berkata, “Siapakah saya? Mengapa saya ada di sini?” Tanggapannya kemudian terhadap pertanyaan, “Saya tidak menemukan alat bantu dengar saya,” hanya memperkuat persepsi tersebut.
Perdebatan antara pasangan nomor 2 sangat dinantikan pada tahun 2008 setelah Senator Arizona dari Partai Republik John McCain memilih Gubernur Alaska Sarah Palin sebagai pasangannya dan melihat adanya lonjakan dalam jajak pendapat. Namun pertarungannya dengan Senator Delaware Joe Biden paling dikenang karena Palin mendekatinya sebelum memulai dan berkata, “Bolehkah saya memanggilmu Joe?” Palin berusaha untuk tidak salah menyebut lawannya “O'Biden,” yang menyamakan nama Biden dengan nama pasangannya, Senator Illinois saat itu, Barack Obama.
Calon wakil presiden dan senator Partai Demokrat Texas, Lloyd Bentsen, memberikan jawaban pedas terhadap lawannya, Senator Partai Republik Dan Quayle dari Indiana, pada tahun 1988. Setelah Quayle membandingkan dirinya dengan John F. Kennedy, Bentsen menjawab, “Anda bukan Jack Kennedy, senator.” Tapi itu adalah salah satu dari sedikit poin tertinggi yang diraih Partai Demokrat dalam pemilu yang dimenangkannya dengan mudah.
Pada tahun 2020, Harris berhadapan dengan Wakil Presiden Partai Republik Mike Pence dan menyatakan ketika dia mencoba menyela, “Saya berbicara,” sebuah kalimat yang dia ulangi dalam kampanye ini. Namun kedua kandidat mungkin dibayangi oleh seekor lalat yang hinggap di rambut Pence untuk waktu yang terasa seperti selamanya.
Akankah perdebatan ini mempengaruhi kampanye?
Pemilihan nomor 2 oleh seorang calon secara historis hanya memberikan sedikit perbedaan pada Hari Pemilihan. Tahun ini mungkin berbeda.
Analisis sejarah yang dilakukan oleh Mark P. Jones, seorang profesor ilmu politik di Rice University di Houston, menunjukkan bahwa pemilih tidak terlalu terpengaruh oleh calon wakil presidennya. Bahkan gagasan menggunakan pick untuk menyeimbangkan tiket – seperti memasangkan calon partai besar pertama yang merupakan perempuan kulit berwarna dengan laki-laki kulit putih dalam kasus Harris memilih Walz – mungkin juga dilebih-lebihkan.
“Bukti yang kami miliki adalah bahwa mereka benar-benar memilih calon presiden,” kata Jones tentang masyarakat Amerika selama beberapa dekade.
Peringatan utamanya mungkin adalah, mengingat betapa dekatnya persaingan saat ini dalam kondisi swing state, “Selalu ada kemungkinan bahwa, pada margin, hal itu mungkin penting,” kata Jones.
Salah satu alasan mengapa debat Walz-Vance mungkin akan mengubah lebih banyak opini tahun ini adalah karena Harris dan Trump hanya berbagi panggung satu kali, yaitu pada awal September. Artinya, hari Selasa mungkin merupakan kesempatan terakhir sebelum Hari Pemilu bagi para pemilih untuk melihat langsung kedua pasangan calon tersebut bertanding.
Namun, kemungkinan besar, baik Walz maupun Vance hanya perlu menghindari kesalahan sendiri yang dapat terulang kembali tanpa henti. Jones mengatakan kesalahan besar seperti itu tidak mungkin terjadi – tetapi bukan tidak mungkin.
“Mereka disiplin,” kata Jones. “Tapi yang diperlukan hanyalah satu.”
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